Guide the computer technology and semiconductor industry for decades of Moore's Law (Moore 's Law) is close to the limit, the Law of global engineers had been sustained, continuously make computer chips smaller, faster and cheaper, now semiconductor process finally close to the physical limits, the industry will launch a new prediction system estimates the computer and the semiconductor industry development in the future.
Moore's law by Intel co-founder Gordon Moore (Gordon Moore) published in 1965. Mainly refers to when prices unchanged, the number of transistors integrated circuit can accommodate about every 18 months will be doubled, the performance will be doubled. Later, Moore's law is also used to other industry development trend analysis forecast.
But Moore's law is limited by the laws of physics, when wafer line width (industry) can make the smallest wire width shrink below 20 nanometers, some people think that Moore's law will not be able to continue to predict the semiconductor industry. Because the line width may be able to continue in the prescriptive time shortened, manufacturing costs have risen sharply. In other words, even if technically transistors can follow Moore's law to reduce the size, but a business costs have soared to a single company cannot load level.
Moore's law has long spur industry make a surprising development. Listed for $four hundred in four hundred, for example, apple 2, performance than the 198 s of the super computer number two is stronger, clay and clay volume ii as a large industrial washing machine, the construction cost up to $fifteen million.
Without this development, today let Google, amazon and other companies to operate the cloud information center will be too expensive to build, also won't have smart phone and tablet. Moore's law, however, began to face challenges in 2005, when the chip is faced with the problem of overheating, engineers were forced to stop improving vein, the substitution of multiprocessor way of labor division, continue to maintain the law.
International institute of electrical and electronics engineers order for 4 new prediction system is proposed, called the "blueprint" international equipment and system, to replace the international semiconductor industry use nearly 25 years of "international semiconductor technology blueprint" chip technology forecast system.
The United States, Europe, Japan, Taiwan, South Korea's semiconductor association, will be to "blueprint" international semiconductor technology make the final review report. Intel, IBM, samsung chip is a consortium member, but Intel said was not involved in the report.
The miniaturization of the semiconductor in the next five years will face a limit. Computer chips is etched with two-dimensional conductor silicon substrate, IBM is the research on carbon nanotubes and graphene as computing element substrate, hope these substrates using optical pulses, rather than voltage.
