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2016 chip industry will not out of recession fate again
Time£º2016/8/23 10:32:06

IDC released the latest forecast report, chip industry sales this year will be a 2.3% recession, came to $324 billion.

Look bad 2016 chip industry sales performance of a market research firm much ©¤ ©¤ IDC released the latest forecast report, chip industry sales this year will be a 2.3% recession, came to $324 billion.

Previous including Gartner, IHS and IC Insights and other research institutions, also are predicting chip market this year will be negative growth; But from the semiconductor industry to collect sales figures, for the semiconductor industry association (SIA) and other industrial organization using the authority of the world trade organization (WSTS) semiconductor, predict 2016 chip industry will still "slight positive growth," a modest growth for 2017.

In recent years, semiconductor industry sales performance change, in dollar terms (source: SIA, WSTS)

Whole chip sales decline slightly in 2015, if the industry once again in 2016, sales performance, means that this is the second time in the history of the chip industry after two successive years of recession. The last time the recession was even two years in the global financial storm, appeared in 2008 and 2009 of the great depression.

IDC is stagnant economic growth in emerging markets such as China, and in 2016 the overall economic outlook is weak, as a measure of the main factors of the global market demand for semiconductors; The agency predicted that the semiconductor sales in 2015 to 2020 between the compound average annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.9%, sales will reach $364 billion in 2020.

And IDC vice President Mario Morales said that "corporate transformation" is the semiconductor industry this year recurring themes, suppliers will be overhauling its leadership, the equipment technology, looking for new customers and expand their core business: double "to see whether the strategy work will need a few years time, but even the industry leading companies are hard to catch up with the pace of the market."

IDC predicts that growth rate up to 52.5% of the 2015 LTE mobile phone market, this year will decline by 8%. Auto market and some of the consumer electronics market, the performance of a recession will still be a whole bright point in the semiconductor industry. DRAM to NAND flash memory prices before the third quarter, due to the PC market continued weak demand and supply exceeds demand and weak; IDC expects DRAM sales will decline by 20% this year, NAND sales will decline by 10%.

If out of memory, and IDC points out, global semiconductor market is expected to nearly 2% growth this year. Chip in addition operation revenue expected recession this year, 6.2% CAGR estimated at between 2015 and 2020-0.9%; Advanced storage operation (High - end storage computing) chip sales will be the highlight of this year, the growth rate is expected to reach 6.7%. In 2016 mobile phone chip sales 4.4% forecasting a recession, but the cable communications infrastructure chip sales forecast 1% growth.